Amidst the growing demand for sustainable aviation solutions, the journey to producing sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) at scale is fraught with challenges. Recent developments suggest that renewable natural gas (RNG) could serve as a viable near-term solution, utilizing current infrastructure to bridge the gap.
Understanding Renewable Natural Gas (RNG)
Derived from organic waste like manure, landfills, and wastewater, RNG offers variable climate benefits. These depend on the intended use of RNG, the management of waste feedstocks, and the strategies employed to control and evaluate emissions.
Pathway to Sustainable Aviation Fuel
One innovative path transforms RNG into hydrogen, which is then combined with carbon captured from the atmosphere, using Fischer–Tropsch synthesis to produce liquid fuels. Capturing and storing biogenic CO2 from hydrogen production results in a hydrogen stream with a net-negative carbon footprint. This approach, while promising, comes with higher costs compared to conventional fuel production.
The decision to use biogenic CO2 directly for Fischer–Tropsch synthesis or to opt for atmospheric carbon from DAC introduces cost and complexity considerations. Using direct air capture allows for net-negative emissions when combined with geologic storage, albeit at a premium cost.

Texas: A Hub for RNG-to-SAF

Texas emerges as a key area for RNG-to-SAF conversion due to its plentiful waste resources from cattle, landfills, and wastewater plants, alongside existing infrastructure. The potential, however, is capped; the estimated RNG could yield about 6 million barrels of SAF annually, fulfilling only niche markets rather than achieving full aviation decarbonization.
Market Activation Strategies

With conventional jet fuel prices fluctuating around $2.50 per gallon, SAF options range from $3 to $10 per gallon. To compete, RNG-to-SAF must leverage policy supports like 45V and 45Q tax credits.
However, care must be taken to avoid unintended effects. For example, incentives for methane reductions might inadvertently promote the growth of large-scale animal operations. Evaluating RNG alongside other emission reduction strategies remains crucial.
The Path Ahead
Texas holds potential for an RNG-to-SAF shift, contingent upon several strategic moves:
- Create broad RNG incentives: Facilitate RNG’s use beyond onsite energy to support SAF production.
- Expand SAF blend certifications: Current limits cap FT-SAF at 50%, and increasing this could lead to more significant emissions cuts.
- Enhance verification standards: Accurate lifecycle accounting is necessary to ensure RNG-based SAF’s true climate benefits.
While RNG alone won’t fully decarbonize aviation, its integration with DAC and Gulf Coast infrastructure presents a practical pathway to scaling SAF, provided policies maintain focus on environmental and carbon accountability.
Original Story at kleinmanenergy.upenn.edu