Chinese Brands Set to Capture 10% of UK’s New Car Market by 2025

Chinese brands are set to account for 1 in 10 new cars sold in Britain by 2025, driven by MG, BYD, and Chery.
China forecast to have sold one in every 10 new cars in UK in 2025 | Automotive industry

The Rise of Chinese Car Brands in the UK: A New Automotive Era

By 2025, Chinese car brands are expected to capture a significant portion of the UK’s automotive market, marking a substantial shift in industry dynamics. These brands are poised to represent one out of every 10 new cars sold in Britain, reflecting a broader trend across Europe.

Leading Chinese manufacturers such as MG, BYD, and Chery aim to surpass 200,000 vehicle sales in the UK, constituting 10% of the market share, according to Matthias Schmidt, an analyst focused on electric vehicles in Europe.

Countries like Spain and Norway are already seeing about 10% of their new car sales coming from Chinese brands, with the average market share across Western Europe at 6%, noted Schmidt.

China’s dominant position in the electric vehicle (EV) industry is attributed to extensive government subsidies, control over the lithium-ion battery supply chain, and cost-effective labor. This surge in sales has raised concerns in EU nations, notably Germany and France, about potential job losses in their automotive sectors.

Graph showing increase of sales of Chinese brands in the UK in 2024 and 2025

While Norway leads globally in EV adoption due to substantial purchase subsidies, in Spain and the UK, a significant proportion of Chinese vehicles are hybrids, featuring both petrol engines and small batteries.

Tu Le, founder of Sino Auto Insights, stated, “The Chinese are tackling the EU region by region since there are pockets of support in some areas and pockets of opposition in others.”

The UK and Norway have opted not to impose tariffs on Chinese imports, unlike the EU, thus facilitating battery car sales.

The Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders reported that Chinese automakers sold 187,800 vehicles in the UK, out of 1.87 million total sales for the first 11 months of the year, effectively doubling last year’s numbers.

According to Schmidt, the UK is an attractive market for Chinese brands due to the absence of major domestic mass-market players. With Rover having ceased operations in the early 2000s and Vauxhall being part of the Stellantis group, UK consumers lack a national brand to support through “patriotic purchasing.”

In contrast, domestic brands control half of the new car market in Germany and France, while two-thirds of the market in China is dominated by local brands.

Japanese manufacturers seem to be losing ground in the UK, with companies like Nissan and Toyota, despite having UK factories, seeing nearly a percentage point drop in market share. Honda and Suzuki also experienced declines, and Mitsubishi has exited the market entirely.

The EU’s tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles, ranging from 17% to 38%, aim to create a more balanced market. However, these tariffs apply only to electric cars, allowing China to gain market share by offering hybrids at competitive prices.

Schmidt’s data reveals that less than 40% of Chinese-brand models entering Western Europe in the third quarter of 2025 were fully electric, indicating that the EU’s tariff design has inadvertently encouraged the sale of more polluting models.

Recently, the EU adjusted its electric car sales targets, allowing 10% of cars sold after 2035 to still have internal combustion engines. This decision came after lobbying from European automakers who argued that profits from petrol and diesel car sales are necessary for investing in battery production facilities.

Some industry experts warn that delaying the transition to electric vehicles in Europe could give Chinese manufacturers an edge. Schmidt projects that the share of Chinese brands in Europe will peak at just below 10% between 2028 and 2030, with their share of the battery car market reaching 13%.

Original Story at www.theguardian.com